Skip to main content
Back

Economic and market implications for oil prices

2 March 2026

Paul Kalogirou, Head of Client Portfolio Management, Asia & Global Multi-Asset Solutions

Recent geopolitical tensions involving Iran have renewed focus on oil prices and their potential economic and market effects. Paul Kalogirou, Head of Client Portfolio Management, Asia & Global Multi-Asset Solutions, shares latest views on it.
 

Summary:

  • Short-term market swings may increase, especially when geopolitical tensions affect oil prices, but these episodes have historically tended to be temporary rather than long‑lasting.
  • Higher oil prices may add to inflation uncertainty, which may influence interest rates and market sentiment, even if the broader economic impact remains limited.
  • Different parts of the market may react differently, with some sectors or styles moving more than others, which can make headlines feel more dramatic than the underlying long‑term impact.
  • Stay focused on long‑term goals. For long‑term investing, reacting to short‑term market volatility may do more harm than good.

 

Download full PDF

 

  • The real asset renaissance: securing power, materials, and energy in a deglobalized world

    Global supply chains are being reshaped by deglobalisation, geopolitics, and the race for energy and technological security, shifting the focus from efficiency toward resilience. In this environment of higher costs, persistent inflation pressures, and constrained supply, real assets may play an increasingly important role in helping investors navigate uncertainty and capture long‑term structural trends.

    Read more
  • Global Equity Diversified Income (GEDI) strategy: Recent update amid Middle East developments

    Despite the heightened market volatility, the Global Equities Diversified Income (GEDI) strategy has demonstrated resilience. We have made selective portfolio adjustments to address the rising risks and believe that by combining four powerful pillars—growth, value, income, and options—the strategy is well positioned to potentially deliver attractive yield alongside long-term capital growth.

    Read more
  • Key takeaways from Chinese mainland NPC meeting

    The annual meeting of Chinese mainland’s National People’s Congress (NPC) is concluding this week. The China equity team shares its latest views on key policy developments and analyses the main growth engines supporting high quality growth.

    Read more
See all
  • Global Equity Diversified Income (GEDI) strategy: Recent update amid Middle East developments

    Despite the heightened market volatility, the Global Equities Diversified Income (GEDI) strategy has demonstrated resilience. We have made selective portfolio adjustments to address the rising risks and believe that by combining four powerful pillars—growth, value, income, and options—the strategy is well positioned to potentially deliver attractive yield alongside long-term capital growth.

    Read more
  • The real asset renaissance: securing power, materials, and energy in a deglobalized world

    Global supply chains are being reshaped by deglobalisation, geopolitics, and the race for energy and technological security, shifting the focus from efficiency toward resilience. In this environment of higher costs, persistent inflation pressures, and constrained supply, real assets may play an increasingly important role in helping investors navigate uncertainty and capture long‑term structural trends.

    Read more
  • Key takeaways from Chinese mainland NPC meeting

    The annual meeting of Chinese mainland’s National People’s Congress (NPC) is concluding this week. The China equity team shares its latest views on key policy developments and analyses the main growth engines supporting high quality growth.

    Read more
See all